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  2023 NFL Draft Odds Day 1 betting recap Levis falls Lamar Super Bowl impact (198 อ่าน)

26 ก.พ. 2567 08:52

Draft odds are usually a headache for bookmakers and a bankroll booster for bettors. But Thursdays first round of the actually saw the oddsmakers do much better than usual Marcus Allen Jersey .It certainly didnt hurt the sportsbooks bottom lines when thought to be a sure thing to go in the top five picks and maybe even get drafted No. 1 or No. 2 didnt go anywhere Thursday night.The SuperBooks Casey Degnon, s Dylan Bro sman and BetMGMs Seamus Magee provide the lowdown on how the books finally had a better night on NFL Draft odds.Kentucky Blue Pa sIn the week leading up to the draft, Levis garnered a boatload of hype. First, the quarterback bolted to the favorite to be drafted No. 2 overall, by the .Then, in a much bigger surprise, information surfaced suggesting that Levis might overall. Regardle s, he was fully expected to be taken within the first few picks. Yet when the first-round party wound down in Kansas City, Levis was still in the back room.The SuperBooks NFL Draft betting menu only included who would be the No. 1 overall pick, then several Over/Unders on when a player would be drafted (i.e. Over/Under 4.5 or 5.5 etc.). QB going No. 1 overall, followed by Levis slipping out of the top five, was a key decision at The SuperBook."We for sure didnt need Levis going No. 1," Degnon said.Instead, as expected, Young went No. 1 overall.Last week, before all the Levis hype, Magee said it might be worth looking at the Over on Levis draft position. Magee even suggested Levis might fall out of the top 10. But the oddsmaker certainly didnt foresee Levis still being on the board Friday."Its unreal, honestly. I cant remember the last time I saw a QB sitting in the green room not getting drafted, when he was a betting favorite to go top five just days before the draft," Magee said.Even on draft day, early morning, Levis was still the favorite to go No. 2 overall. But by the time the draft began, Levis wasnt the favorite at Nos. 2 or 3. Still, that didnt suggest he wouldnt get drafted Derek Carr Jersey until Day 2."I didnt think Levis would fall past the Bucs at No. 19," Magee said. "I wasnt a particularly big fan of the hype this draft cycle. But I couldnt comprehend him falling out of the first round altogether."That said, Levis shouldnt last long Friday night. Hes the favorite to be the first pick of the second round, which would mean the who have their QB in Kenny Pickett would be trading out of that pick.Bro sman, trading operations senior manager at FOX Bet, said the Levis situation led to multiple positive outcomes for his operation."The Levis hype that came in this week helped reduce our liability big-time for the first overall pick. It also gave us very favorable results for the second and third overall pick markets," Bro sman said.'No Major DamageBro sman pointed to a few NFL Draft props that were key Thursday night, on each side of the counter."Bettors were all over this prop at +200: top-10 pick and first-round pick. They also had us beat on the prop of both and . as top-three picks, at +500," Bro sman said.Robinson, the running back, cracked the top 10 by going No. 8 overall to the . Fellow running back Gibbs, from Alabama, went shortly thereafter at No. 12 to the . And as noted above, Stroud went No. 2 and Anderson No. 3, both to the Texans.On the flip side, three props that fell in FOX Bets favor:First three picks to be QBs (+175); Anderson broke that up by going No. 3, after Young and Stroud went 1-2Lions to draft defensive lineman (+500); the nabbed the Georgia standoutTwo or more running backs/five or more QBs/three or more tight ends drafted in the first round (+650)That last one didnt get close for bettors. Only two running backs, three QBs and one tight end went in the first round."Overall, the first round was a slight loser for us. But no Darron Lee Jersey major damage was done," Bro sman said. "Historically, we are thrilled with any positive margin on the draft. So we were not surprised nor disappointed coming out slightly in the red."Top of the PropsDegnon provided a brief rundown of key first-round prop decisions in the NFL Draft odds market. Utah tight end going 26th overall to the was a winner for the book. Kincaids Over/Under on draft position was 25.5, and the Under was seeing the bulk of the action.Penn State wideout slipping out of the first round was also a winner behind the counter. Porters Over/Under was 19.5.Those and other Over/Under decisions, along with Levis slipping, helped make The SuperBook a winner on NFL first-round odds Robert Jackson Jersey for the first time in the several years its taken action on the draft."We lost a little on the player Over/Unders. But if you combine that with the odds to go No. 1 market , we came out a small winner," Degnon said. "Im pleasantly surprised. Our team put in a lot of time and did a great job booking the action."Bettors still managed to beat BetMGM, in a market dominated by sharp players. However, the setback for BetMGM was far more acceptable than the norm for NFL Draft betting."It wasnt a winning night on the draft, but this is probably the best weve done on a draft that I can remember," Magee said. "C.J. Stroud at No. 2 overall was the killer. But picks 3-5 saved the day. Those were huge results for us."At No. 2, Stroud went to the Houston Texans, who surprisingly followed up by trading into the No. 3 pick making a deal with the and grabbing Alabama linebacker Will Anderson Jr. Then QB went No. 4 to the , followed by cornerback at No. 5 to the ."Anderson at No. 3 wasnt bad. There was lots of money on quarterbacks at No. 3, anticipating a trade," Magee said. "Richardson at No. 4 couldve been a lot worse, but wasnt, thanks to a lot of money coming in on Levis Thursday . People were thinking Levis couldve gone to the Colts."Lamar Locked DownHours before the NFL Draft began, the squelched any rumors of QB playing anywhere else. Jackson agreed to a five-year contract extension worth $260 million, with $185 million guaranteed.That makes Jackson the highest-paid QB in the NFL. The deal also impacted the Super Bowl odds market.BetMGM had the Ravens at +2500 to win the Super Bowl prior to the deal getting done. Shortly after the ink dried on Jacksons contract Thursday, BetMGM moved the Ravens to +2200. By Friday morning, Baltimore sat as the +1800 eighth choice in odds to win the Super Bowl. has the Ravens a couple ticks lower on the Super Bowl odds board, as the +1800 eighth choice. The defending champion are the +600 favorite at FOX Bet and the +650 favorite at BetMGM.The SuperBook has K.C. as the +600 favorite, while the Ravens are the +2000 co-eighth choice, joined by the Lions and .Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He Willie Brown Jersey is a distinguished journalist in the national sports betting space. Hes based in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golfing in 110-degree heat. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_Vegas. NFL trending in this topic
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